{"updated":"2026-07-03","batchId":"PROB-SIGNALS-002","title":"Probability Signal Feed 002 — Expanded Lanes","purpose":"Add weighted signals for the Batch 002 scenario lanes.","boundary":"Signals influence forecasts but do not prove outcomes. Each signal should eventually be linked to source cards or verified records.","signals":[{"signalId":"SIG-009","title":"Public-contract route exists for public-service technology checks","lane":"public procurement","sourceStatus":"route verified","weight":2,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-005","impact":2},{"scenarioId":"SCN-007","impact":2}],"sourceRefs":["data/source-route-cards-batch-001.json","data/verified-record-cards-batch-001.json"],"whyItMatters":"Public procurement routes can confirm whether agencies are buying cloud, AI, analytics or software systems."},{"signalId":"SIG-010","title":"Systems category map includes cloud, identity, finance, platforms and public services software","lane":"systems map","sourceStatus":"category map","weight":2,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-006","impact":2},{"scenarioId":"SCN-008","impact":1},{"scenarioId":"SCN-010","impact":2}],"sourceRefs":["data/systems-category-map.json"],"whyItMatters":"Forecasts can reason by layer instead of isolated names."},{"signalId":"SIG-011","title":"Record intake queue includes official disclosure and court/source route work","lane":"disclosure operations","sourceStatus":"task queue","weight":3,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-009","impact":4},{"scenarioId":"SCN-011","impact":2}],"sourceRefs":["data/record-intake-queue-batch-001.json"],"whyItMatters":"Disclosure outcomes become trackable when the site has official routes and a file-level review queue."},{"signalId":"SIG-012","title":"Platform and policy routes exist for information visibility checks","lane":"platforms","sourceStatus":"route verified","weight":2,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-003","impact":2},{"scenarioId":"SCN-010","impact":3}],"sourceRefs":["data/source-route-cards-batch-001.json","data/verified-source-cards-batch-001.json"],"whyItMatters":"Policy and transparency routes can later confirm how platforms describe enforcement, requests and visibility systems."},{"signalId":"SIG-013","title":"Preliminary VRC batch separates support from limits","lane":"evidence discipline","sourceStatus":"preliminary VRC","weight":3,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-004","impact":3},{"scenarioId":"SCN-011","impact":3}],"sourceRefs":["data/verified-record-cards-batch-001.json"],"whyItMatters":"Forecast credibility rises when the site states what records can and cannot prove."},{"signalId":"SIG-014","title":"SEC filing feed automation added","lane":"automation","sourceStatus":"build pipeline","weight":3,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-001","impact":1},{"scenarioId":"SCN-004","impact":3},{"scenarioId":"SCN-008","impact":1}],"sourceRefs":["scripts/build-sec-filing-feed.js","scripts/repair-generated-site-artifacts.js"],"whyItMatters":"Automated metadata capture reduces manual lag and helps forecasts update as source metadata changes."},{"signalId":"SIG-015","title":"Probability update log established","lane":"forecast governance","sourceStatus":"update log","weight":2,"affectedScenarios":[{"scenarioId":"SCN-011","impact":2}],"sourceRefs":["data/probability-update-log.json"],"whyItMatters":"Versioned probability movement makes forecasts auditable instead of disposable."}],"nextAction":"Regenerate probability snapshot using both signal feeds."}